Monday, 18 January 2010

It's not just Rafa Benitez that could cost LIVERPOOL FC a Champions League place


Liverpool Football Club Confirms Takeover Bid

AS the cries for Rafa Benitez to be sacked by Liverpool get ever louder, there’s a certain irony in some of the criteria being applied to opinion about his future at Anfield.

For many, top of the list for calling time on the Spaniard’s six-year spell at the club is failure to finish in the top four, the argument being that missing out on Champions League football would be disastrous for a club which, even with money from the pot of the continent’s biggest competition, is struggling to cling to the coat-tails of its richer rivals.

Many say a top four finish is out of reach already, and therefore the writing is on the wall for the former Valencia boss.

Ignoring that it is Benitez himself who has drove expectations to a level were Champions qualification is regarded as the norm, and that with Liverpool just four points off fourth spot predictions are premature, the irony lies in giving the manager his cards based on putting the club in a position where participation in the European Cup is under threat.

Because that’s exactly the position Tom Hicks and George Gillett have put the club in – yet still the focus remains elsewhere for a lot of fans, with many happy to turn a blind eye to the ownership of the club and others, incredibly, even willing to argue for its apparent merits.


"We have purchased the club with no debt on the club" George Gillett, November 2007

If Liverpool FC continues to be run in the same way as it has been since Hicks and Gillett took over in November 2007 the club will not be allowed to participate in the Champions League – no matter who the manager is.

New UEFA rules due to be introduced at the start of the 2013 season will mean loss-making clubs – which Liverpool now is due to the interest payments on the mountain of debt loaded on to the club by its co-owners – will be excluded from the Champions League and Europa League.

UEFA announced the Fair Play Initiative last August “to improve the financial fairness in European competitions and the long term stability of club football across Europe.”

The first measure stated clubs “cannot repeatedly spend more than the generated revenues.”

It’s no empty promise either, judging by the reaction of the big spenders. Chelsea announced last month that Roman Abramovich had converted the full £700m of his investment from loans to shares. Sheikh Mansour, who has put in £395m in 16 months at Manchester City, has done similar.

Both clubs acknowledged, according to The Observer, that this was with the UEFA rule change in mind.

So Liverpool needs to start breaking even again – and fast. Yet the club, £44.8million in debt when Hicks and Gillett took over, £237m in debt now – still plan to build a new stadium in Stanley Park…at least that’s what managing director Christian Purslow told Liverpool fans via the Liverpool Echo (or should that be his unchallenged mouthpiece?).

In some quarters, it seems Purslow can do no wrong and far too many fans were accepting of an interview that screamed PR and came just days after Tom Hicks Jnr had resigned after his infamous “Blow me fuck face” email to Liverpool fan, Steve Horner.

For some Purslow is the white knight, the season ticket holder turned executive, who has the club’s best interests at heart.

He is hailed for securing commercial deals that every supporter to a man knew was possible for a club with one of, if not the, biggest support in the world.

"The Hicks family and the Gillett family are extremely excited about continuing the club's legacy and tradition." Joint statement, Nov 2007

But Purslow is the corporate face of a club shaking at its foundation, a highly-paid businessman who benefits from the worst of situations being presented in the best of light.

He therefore starts from a position of mistrust, and should have to convince downtrodden Liverpool supporters otherwise.

He should be faced with the toughest of questions - probed about the debt, the non-existent new stadium, the promise by Hicks and Gillett to compete at the top end of the transfer market.

Instead, he did an interview with Echo sports editor, John Thompson.

The publication and the journalist, like the timing of the interview (or should that be press release?) are no coincidence.

The Echo swallowed the Purslow PR pill whole, without a cough. No surprise when it shares commercial activities with the club, including the matchday programme.

What happened to journalists representing the people? Asking the questions the fans wanted answered - the difficult ones?

No sign of that amongst the Purslow spin.

Predictably, he kicked off by talking about players – the thing at the forefront of the majority of fans’ minds, attempting to stem the tide of speculation that top players will be sold to balance the books should the team not manage to turn its season around:

“Nothing could be further from the truth than reports which suggested the club would choose to sell its star footballers. Full stop. The idea that we would ever wish to sell our top players is completely against the interests of this club.”

“Choose” to sell. “Wish” to sell. Those two words alone should set the alarm bells ringing. If top players ARE sold, all Purslow has to say is it was a financial necessity. So the club didn’t choose to sell, or wish to sell – they HAD to sell.

Purslow goes on to tackle another worry amongst supporters – that players could be sold to service debt:

Premier League: Liverpool Loss At Middlesborough“Any proceeds we generate from the sale of players can only go into our player account for the recruitment of new players.”

So why after breaking even in two transfer windows was Benitez forced to visit the bargain basement for Sotirios Kyrgiakos when in dire need of a central defender? Why were the players he really wanted – Michael Turner, Matthew Upson, Ryan Shawcross – not brought to Anfield, particularly as co-owner Gillett had already told the world Benitez could have whoever he wanted (even Snoogy Doogy)?

The stock line is potential transfer spending was eaten up by contract renewals - a concept that came hand-in-hand with the Hicks and Gillett era and had seemingly never affected a manager at Liverpool in the history of the club before their arrival.

Purslow went on: “It’s in the public domain that the owners have been looking to bring new investors in to the club to pay down the club’s existing debts – which are today about £237m – by way of issuing new shares which would dilute their shareholding in the club. That process is ongoing.

“The debt we have today is obviously serviced by the club in terms of interest and bank fees and if we reduce our debt then clearly those interest charges and bank fees will reduce.”

Yes, it is in the public domain. Watching Gillett being filmed in a Liverpool tie in various Far East airports was hardly subtle was it? If anything, it made the club, and the owners, look desperate. It would be no surprise if, behind the charade, they are desperate - because how likely is a return on their disingenuous plan looking now? Purslow said:  

“Inevitably when you run an investment process of this kind in the early stages many, many people have a look.

“Much of the challenge in these processes is to sort out the serious and the real interest from people who are unlikely to make an investment.

“I think it’s fair to say as we now move into the New Year that we are whittling down the interest to a smaller number – maybe a handful of serious groups who are interested in investing in Liverpool. And in the coming couple of months our job is to sort those into ultimately an investor that makes sense for everyone concerned.

“Provided all goes well, there is a serious possibility of new fresh investment into Liverpool Football Club within the foreseeable future."

Remember the false dawns under the administration led by Rick Parry? Report after report of potential investors, all of whom fell by the wayside as the club sought the cash that would take the club on to the 'next level', fund a new stadium and buy the top-end players that Liverpool's rivals regularly recruit. 

Instead, Hicks and Gillett took over the club.

Purslow is saying nothing - it's all ifs, buts and maybes with indefinite timescales. Tellingly, he says himself in the Echo piece: "There are no guarantees."

So he does his best to tell fans everything is rosy in the garden but in reality there's a very real chance that, to use another loose gardening analogy, the club is knee deep in the shit.

No investor, no chance of meeting the financial regulations, no Champions League, no transfer budget, sell to buy...and the downward spiral continues.

And what about the stadium? The new Anfield. The futuristic ground that would put Liverpool at the head of the pack, on and off the pitch.

Purslow said: “The stadium is absolutely central to the club’s strategic development because with a new stadium comes a transformation in the financial resources of Liverpool that can be ploughed back into the core of our activity - which is our playing squad.

“The good news is that all potential investors are attracted to Liverpool by the prospect of building a new stadium and participating in the transformation in the value of the club associated with that project.

“Also positive is the fact that late last year, the bank market was essentially shut. It’s now very much open for business and a number of banks are very interested in financing our new stadium.

“However, a condition of all those banks’ interest is that in the first instance, we have brought new investment into the club"

So, no new investor, no new stadium. Maybe these potential investors exist, maybe they don't. But ask yourself this, who would want to climb into bed with Hicks and Gillett? A pairing that cares so little about the club that they are yet to attend a board meeting at Anfield - in three years.

A pairing that can't agree with each other and has now gone to ground, refuses to do interviews and refuses to speak to fans - unless it's by email, of course.

And a pairing, that knows NOTHING about football. This is often overlooked. And if Benitez does go - whether he jumps or is pushed - do supporters trust these men to recuit the next manager?

Leading football financial consultant Harry Philp told the Sunday Times: "The cost of buying Liverpool and building a new stadium is £800m before you start on players. Given Arsenal, who already have the Emirates, are worth £800m, that doesn’t seem great value.

“Twenty-five per cent of Liverpool is on offer but I don’t see why anyone would buy that minority stake. You’d pay £100m into getting one quarter of a dysfunctional football club and your money would go straight to the bank, to service Hicks and Gillett’s debt."

Let's say an investor does want to put in £100m, then what? Borrow more, that's the plan. Purslow admits the club could borrow enough now to build the stadium but they are being held back by the debt laid onto the club by the owners.

It's been said many times, but what benefits have Hicks and Gillett brought to the club? If anything, they've taken us backwards.

Hindsight is a wonderful thing, but if the previous administration had simply gone to the banks, borrowed the cash and built the stadium we would be in no worse postion now.

Now, think about the future. If you're not worried, you're not a fan. It's that simple. Some people care about Liverpool Football Club. Others - and that includes Tom Hicks, George Gillett and the 'fans' who shrug off the off-field embarrassment, don't.

Purslow added: "I hope to be able to give people more of an update in the next month or two.”

Hope? There's precious little of that while the Americans remain in charge.

Comments (15)

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Fantaticaly written and very true, the owners seem to be going under the rader when it comes to attacking Benitez.
I feel like you are repeating yourself over and over again. We all know the owners are shite and have brought the club into a mess. We all know they broke their promises. As the situation stands, their names will never bring out superlatives from Liverpool fans. That's a fact.

I wonder who you aim your posts at. The tiny percentage of people who actually the Americans are doing good? I don't want to read about it every time Tom Hicks goes to the toilet.
1 reply · active 792 weeks ago
There's plenty of fans who turn a blind eye to the owners, and plenty who thing they are 'not that bad'.

And the chief executive of the club giving a big interview to a paper is hardly someone going the toilet, is it?
As the Media builds itself up into an ever increasing anti Liverpool frenzy, this blog remains one of the very few beacons of truth. __
Someone with some sense finally.
Yes they have broken promises

Yes they are not worthy of our club

And yes they are not going to leave till they get a reasonable return on their "investment". Simply because they are businessmen, and its not costing them anything to hold on to their investment as they have stopped putting money into the club. No amount of shouting is going to change that. The only way they will leave is when a new investor comes in to buy them out. And that has a greater chance of happening when we win something substantial again. And so we are dependent on the current team and manager to lead the club out of this mess.

So let us support our team and manager. Let us do that instead of wasting our energy by hurling abuse at the owners. This situation might even lead to potential investors being discouraged by the display of fan power.
1 reply · active 792 weeks ago
Or it might make them realise they can't take the piss out of fans...
Hey mate. I have sat squarely on the fence since I have known you. That has not changed to date. Mainly because from a business perspective (this being the area I come from) I think I can see what the plan was and how it fell apart. There has never been, therefore, to date something for me to pin a decision on as per all my posts. Posts which were not designed to defend H&G, but to simply explain why I feel unable at the moment to be for or against them. Despite a lot of people (because I proposed the other possible side of the story) interpreting them as defensive.

There have always been grey areas. A prime example being that it is a statement of record and fact that the club was bought with no debts. Therefore a lie? No, disingenuous - very possibly.

Since our first dialogue and my subsequent dealings with others I would quite like to see H&G sell up. Not because I'm anti H&G, their model was flawed when they set up or because I think they made all their money by luck. Some thinking that any idiot can make hundreds of millions. It's simply so we can put all this 'the owners' continual drama to bed. I do worry though that we have set a precedent. It is asked "who would want to get in bed with H&G?". Who would want to buy the club outright knowing the level of grief they could get if they can't continually meet the demands of growth, tradition, profits, no debts, commercial success, community etc? Someone is always going to want to buy the club of course, but it would surely put some off. Mr. Sultan could be seen as a hero at other clubs, or closely scrutinised by us?

You raise some very valid points (especially about UEFA) but this is all relatively new. As a business the club has to react, but they should do so in a considered and constructive way. So answers won't be forthcoming quickly. A frustration I know both you and I share. The answers aren't needed till 2013 at the earliest and no businessman would allow that sort of revenue (champions league) to just disappear.

You already know that I wanted Purslow to have more of a grilling. But he now seems to be thrown into the 'them' of H&G. I think some patience is required. At the moment getting to May and seeing if we have investment or a spade in the ground will finally give me something to base a decision on. Without either it can be sufficiently argued that the current regime is having a significant detrimental effect on the future prosperity of the club. If they both arrive, well hopefully we can start debating football?

I hope you don't class me as one of those who is 'not worried'. The situation in football generally, never mind the added complications at Anfield, should make us worried. But I assume we can be worried, be providing some extra time (benefit of the doubt) and still be fans?

Shit that was long - sorry :-)
The post isn't a go at you mate, you've got your opinion and you're entitled to it.

I don't see your point about Gillett's statement re putting debt on the club, that's splitting hairs. He knew full well what he was saying in the press conference and how it would be interpreted and now look where we are.

There is no argument about grey areas - they pulled the wool over our eyes, sold us a load of bull and now we are paying the price. Lies, deception, whatever you want to call it. They have hardly been honest with the fans have they?

I'm sick of it and sick of the debate. They are leading us one way - down. They've had THREE YEARS - why do they deserve more time?
1 reply · active 792 weeks ago
Hey mate. Again - fair and valid points.

There is a difference between lying and being disingenuous though. They obviously were confident their plan would work, (players would come in, success would be achieved and the stadium completed). Thus they were thinking that no one would bat an eye lid while debts were so well accepted (just like at United) and a way of life for many. Look at how quiet it went at Old Trafford.

Those who wanted them out in part though created the grey areas. Had the stock line been 'they have been disingenuous and not delivered any of the hope they told us they would, while piling debt onto the club' I think a lot more neutrals would have been won over. That statement is hard(er) to argue with. As they weren't 'lies' an automatic defence is created, it gets emotive and technically (now I am splitting hairs) we're lying about lying!

The credit crunch put an end to the plans and as I have recently said maybe this was for the best (long term security). Even the long term peace at Old Trafford has now gone. A friend of mine was at the last game and emailed me to say there were demonstrations outside the ground.

I also take your last point. While I have been fully aware of what has been happening, as you know I have only really got 'involved' over the past few months. I know I should have kept my trap shut ;-)

You have seriously given me pause for thought! I still think Purslow deserves till May as business never happens quickly, or if it does it's usually a disaster.

Sorry I'm taking over your comments section again! Note to self: Learn how to be more succinct!
Some subtle Yank PR going on in the replies to this very well written piece??

Robbo, i'm sick of the debate too, i'm sick of the apathy and ignorance from so called reds. If anyone is unclear about the owners 'business plan' then let this thread be your guide http://forum.raotl.co.uk/viewtopic.php?f=1&t=...

Once again Robbo, great work with your blog.

www.yanksout.com
1 reply · active 792 weeks ago
Good blog once again mate. I totally agree about the Liverpool Echo. Having worked as a Trinity Mirror journalist myself, you can't really expect an awful lot from a company that puts its clients before it's readers.
I remember a reporter got sent out on the title I worked for, to do a restaurant review. Upon giving the editor her completed copy, which was a bad review, she was told to re-write it as 'the restaurant gave a lot of money to the paper through advertising'.
Back on the subject - I said a similar thing about the irony of Rafa's position in a recent blog of mine. The man got us into a position where we now expect to be in the top four annually. He may not be up to the job now, but he at least deserves respect for what he's done at the club.
In general I think English football is now in decline. It's been in my thoughts a lot over the last couple of seasons that the English clubs domination of the Champions' League was the last hurrah for the Premier League. It's star is definitely on the wane, it's just a terrible shame that it's LFC that is taking the hardest hit in the era of leveraged buy-outs and business deals with no limits.
Sorry it was such a long comment! YNWA
No need to apologise, good comment, spot on. Should have left a link to your blog, sounds interesting.
Its not just the man who is responsible and victim of the situation. It is the danger of the right and exact kind. It is permanent and beneficial. It is adjusted and invoked. Its advantages are greatly implemented and reformed for goodness and advancement.

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